Official Chinese PMI survey data show improved conditions in China's aggregate economy in March. The headline index for the CFLP manufacturing PMI rose from 49.1 in February to 50.8 in March, above the consensus forecast of 50.2 and indicating expansion in the sector after five consecutive months of contraction. The CFLP non-manufacturing PMI survey's headline index advanced from 51.4 to 53.0, also above the consensus forecast of 51.5. The composite index covering the entire economy rose from 50.9 in February to 52.7 in March, its highest level since June 2023.

Today's data were stronger than consensus forecasts, with the China RPI increasing from plus 50 to plus 79 and the RPI-P rising from plus 60 to plus 100, indicating that data are coming in well above market expectations.

The CFLP manufacturing PMI is expected to increase more than a point to 50.2 in March from February's 49.1 which was the fifth straight sub-50 reading.

China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing (CFLP) Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) is the monthly survey of about 800 purchasing managers that is conducted jointly by CFLP and National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). The questions focus on the health of the manufacturing sector. The numeric result is a diffusion index. A reading above 50 indicates that manufacturing is growing. A reading below 50 indicates contraction.

Investors need to keep their fingers on the pulse of the economy because it dictates how various types of investments will perform. By tracking economic data such as the purchasing managers' manufacturing indexes, investors will know what the economic backdrop is for the various markets. The stock market likes to see healthy economic growth because that translates to higher corporate profits. The bond market prefers less rapid growth and is extremely sensitive to whether the economy is growing too quickly and causing potential inflationary pressures. The CLFP manufacturing data give a detailed look at the manufacturing sector, how busy it is and where things are headed. Since the manufacturing sector is a major source of cyclical variability in the economy, this report has a big influence on the markets. And its sub-indexes provide a picture of orders, output, employment and prices. The survey tends to have a greater impact when it is released prior to the HSBC/Markit manufacturing PMI because the two reports are correlated.