Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | -0.7% | -4.1% to 2.4% | -1.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
Year over Year | -9.8% | -13.7% to -7.1% | -10.9% | -0.7% |
Highlights
The January figure was weaker than the median economist forecast of a 0.7 percent drop. Orders from manufacturers, including chemical companies and automakers, plunged 13.2 percent while those from non-manufacturers rose 6.5 percent, led by transportation. Demand for computers remained mixed.
Recent data were updated in an annual revision to seasonal adjustments: The December rise was revised down to 1.9 percent from 2.7 percent and the November fall was revised up to 3.7 percent from 4.9 percent.
On a yearly basis, orders marked their 11th straight decline, down 10.9 percent (consensus was a 9.8 percent drop) following a 0.7 percent dip in the prior month.
The Cabinet Office downgraded its assessment after holding it for more than a year, saying,"Machinery orders have weakened recently." Previously, it had said orders were"pausing."
January's result marks a weak start to the first quarter when orders are predicted by the Cabinet Office to rise 4.9 percent for the first increase in four quarters.
Econoday's Relative Performance Index (RPI) stands at minus 19, below zero, which indicates the Japanese economy is performing worse than expected after underperforming within a narrower margin recently. Excluding the impact of inflation, the RPI is at a steeply negative minus 47 to indicate, relative to expectations, significant weakness in real activity.