Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Year over Year | 5.0% | 5.09% | 5.10% |
Highlights
Steady headline inflation largely reflects a steady increase in food and beverage prices, which account for more than half the weight of the CPI index. These prices rose 7.66 percent on the year after increasing 7.58 percent previously. Fuel and light charges, around 8 percent of the index, fell 0.77 percent on the year after falling 0.60 percent previously. Inflation in urban areas fell from 4.92 percent in January to 4.78 percent in February, while inflation in rural areas was unchanged at 5.34 percent.
At the RBI's most recent policy meeting, held last month, officials left policy rates on hold at 6.50 percent. They advised then that they expect the outlook for headline inflation will remain heavily dependent on food prices but expressed confidence that previous policy tightening will keep core inflation"muted". They stressed that"monetary policy must continue to be actively disinflationary", suggesting that upside risks to the inflation outlook will likely remain their primary focus in upcoming meetings.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
CPI numbers presently compiled and released at national level for India reflect the fluctuations in retail prices pertaining to specific segments of population in the country -- industrial workers, agricultural labourers and rural labourers. These indexes do not encompass all the segments of the population in the country and as such do not reflect true picture of the price behavior in the country. To overcome the above, the Central Statistics Office (CSO) of the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation has started compiling new series of CPI for the entire urban population or CPI (Urban) and CPI for the entire rural population or CPI (Rural), which reflect the changes in the price levels of various goods and services consumed by the urban and rural population.