Consensus | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | -0.5% | 0.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% |
Year over Year | -1.0% | -0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
Highlights
Excluding auto fuel, the picture was slightly firmer with sales up 0.2 percent on the month, making for a 0.5 percent yearly decline.
The stable monthly performance reflected falls in the sale of food (0.3 percent) and auto fuel (1.3 percent) that just offset a rise in non-food demand (0.7 percent). Non-specialised stores (1.6 percent) and textiles and clothing (1.7 percent) had a particularly good month but household goods (minus 1.0 percent) were weak and non-store retailing only unchanged. Very wet weather may have had a negative impact.
Today's update puts average total volume sales in the first two months of the quarter fully 1.7 percent above their mean level in the fourth quarter of last year. Accordingly, the sector remains on course to provide a tidy positive contribution to GDP growth. The February data also lift the UK RPI to minus 19 and the RPI-P to minus 14 but both values still show economic activity in general falling slightly short of market expectations.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The pattern in consumer spending is often the foremost influence on stock and bond markets. For stocks, strong economic growth translates to healthy corporate profits and higher stock prices. For bonds, the focus is whether economic growth goes overboard and leads to inflation. Ideally, the economy walks that fine line between strong growth and excessive (inflationary) growth.
Retail sales not only give you a sense of the big picture, but also the trends among different types of retailers. Perhaps apparel sales are showing exceptional weakness but electronics sales are soaring. These trends from the retail sales data can help you spot specific investment opportunities, without having to wait for a company's quarterly or annual report.