Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Composite Index | 48.9 | 49.2 | 47.9 |
Services Index | 50.0 | 50.2 | 48.4 |
Highlights
Activity in services was also revised stronger with the final sector PMI weighing in at 50.2, up 0.2 points versus its flash estimate and back into positive growth territory for the first time in seven months. New business was broadly stable and although backlogs again declined, employment rose at the fastest rate in eight months. Indeed, business expectations about the year ahead were the most optimistic in a year. Even so, inflationary pressures continued to build with both costs and output prices rising at an accelerated rate.
In terms of national composite output indices, the best performing member state was Ireland (54.4) which, along with Spain (53.9) and Italy (51.1) posted above 50. France (48.1) was close to stagnation, but Germany (46.3) remained mired in recession territory.
The final data will underpin hopes that the Eurozone economy is on the turn. However, even if this is the case, there are some ominous signs of cost and price pressures beginning to build again which will not sit at all well with the ECB. Accordingly, today's update reduces the chances of a cut in key interest rates in April and may also dampen speculation about a move in June. The region's RPI now stands at 15 and the RPI-P at 4. Economic activity in general is running just slightly ahead market expectations.