Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Initial Claims - Level | 209K | 205K to 220K | 210K | 209K | 212K |
Initial Claims - Change | -2K | -1K | 2K | ||
4-Week Moving Average | 211.25K | 208.00K | 208.75K |
Highlights
Over the past four weeks, claims have been relatively steady between 210,000 and 213,000, leaving the 4-week average within a tight range of 208,500 to 211,250.
Continuing claims in lagging data for the March 9 week rose an additional 4,000 to 1.807 million after increasing 9,000 the previous week, with this 4-week average at 1.802 million, up from 1.797 million in the March 2 week. The unemployment rate for insured workers was unchanged at 1.2 percent.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
There's a downside to it, though. Unemployment claims, and therefore the number of job seekers, can fall to such a low level that businesses have a tough time finding new workers. They might have to pay overtime wages to current staff, use higher wages to lure people from other jobs, and in general spend more on labor costs because of a shortage of workers. This leads to wage inflation, which is bad news for the stock and bond markets. Federal Reserve officials are always on the look-out for inflationary pressures.
By tracking the number of jobless claims, investors can gain a sense of how tight, or how loose, the job market is. If wage inflation looks threatening, it's a good bet that interest rates will rise, bond and stock prices will fall, and the only investors in a good mood will be the ones who tracked jobless claims and adjusted their portfolios to anticipate these events.
Just remember, the lower the number of unemployment claims, the stronger the job market, and vice versa.