Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 1.1% | -0.0% to 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Year over Year | 2.8% | 2.1% to 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% |
Highlights
On the month, retail sales rose a seasonally adjusted 1.5 percent, above the median forecast of a 1.1 percent increase, after a downwardly revised 0.2 percent in January and plunging 2.6 percent in December.
The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry maintained its assessment, saying retail sales are"taking one step forward and one step back." The three-month moving average rose 0.1 percent on the month in February after three months of decline.
Econoday's Relative Performance Index stands at minus 18, below zero, which indicates the Japanese economy is performing largely as expected. Excluding the impact of inflation, the RPI is at minus 20.
Sales of automobiles fell 8.6 percent on year in February after marking the first drop in 20 months in January at 4.0 percent drop and after rising 5.1 percent in December. Sales of machinery and equipment (largely consumer electronics) rose 5.4 percent in February for the eighth increase in a row after rising 1.5 percent previously.
Sales of food and beverages, a category which has the largest share in retail sales, posted their 17th straight rise, up 5.7 percent after rising 3.5 percent the previous month. Food price markups have peaked but the weak yen could keep import costs high.
General merchandise sales at department stores and supermarkets marked a 24th straight year-over-year gain, up 8.4 percent in February after rising 3.4 percent in January. Sales of apparel and accessories rose 0.7 percent for the first rise in six months after falling 8.3 percent the previous month. Demand for medicine and cosmetics remained solid, up 8.6 percent in February after a 5.5 percent gain in January.
Sales of fuels rose 2.3 percent on the year in February after rising 1.5 percent in January. Retail gasoline prices in Japan have stabilized after hitting a record high in early September and slowing down afterwards. The government has scaled back subsides to refineries.