Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Index | 46.6 | 46.6 | 44.4 |
Highlights
Output (46.6 after 44.9) declined by the least in nine months and the drop in new orders was similarly the shallowest since last April. Backlogs essentially followed suit and employment was trimmed further although only modestly. Similarly, purchasing reductions were less aggressive than in December and input buying fell at the weakest pace since last March. However, suppliers' delivery times lengthened for the first time in a year due to the disruptions to traffic passing through the Red Sea. Nonetheless, business confidence rose to a 9-month high. Input costs saw another fall as did factory gate prices and the rate of decline for both accelerated for the first time since last July and September respectively.
In terms of nation PMIs, the best performing member state was Greece (54.7) which was the only country to post above the 50-expansion threshold. Ireland (49.5) and Spain (49.2) essentially stagnated, and the Netherlands (48.9) and Italy (48.5) contracted only mildly. However, Germany (45.5), France (43.1) and Austria (43.0) all signalled hefty declines despite each achieving a multi-month high.
Taken at face value, today's update suggests that the recession in Eurozone manufacturing continued into the current quarter. There are some reasons for optimism further out but for now the sector can be expected to continue to weigh on GDP growth. That said, the January update nudges up the region's RPI to minus 6 and the RPI-P to minus 8. Both values show overall economic activity just about keeping up with market expectations.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The S&P Global PMI manufacturing data give a detailed look at the manufacturing sector, how busy it is and where things are headed. Since the manufacturing sector is a major source of cyclical variability in the economy, this report has a big influence on the markets. And its sub-indexes provide a picture of orders, output, employment and prices.