Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Composite Index | 47.9 | 47.9 | 47.6 |
Services Index | 48.4 | 48.4 | 48.8 |
Highlights
The 48.4 flash services PMI was similarly unrevised, declining 0.4 points versus its final year-end mark and indicating the steepest fall in activity in three months. New business was down for a seventh straight month while the drop in backlogs was the sharpest in almost three years. Still, with business expectations about the year ahead improving to their best level since last May, employment growth climbed to a 4-month high.
Inflationary pressures intensified. Both the input cost and output price inflation rates accelerated to register their strongest levels in four and seven months respectively.
In terms of national composite output indices, the best performing member state was Spain (51.5) which, alongside Italy (50.7) was above the 50-growth threshold. However, Germany (47.0) and France (44.6) remained well short.
In sum, the January updates suggest a further deterioration in overall Eurozone economic conditions and warns of another poor quarter for both output and demand. Even so, with the ECB firmly focussed on inflation, the latest cost and price developments will help to ensure that the Governing Council remains in no hurry to cut key interest rates. The final January data put the region's RPI at 11 and the RPI-P at 13, both measures showing economic activity in general running a little ahead of market expectations.