Consensus | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Index | 100 | 100 | 99 | 98 |
Highlights
Production (0 percent after minus 8 percent) stabilised having fallen in the previous three months and orders books (minus 17 percent after minus 19 percent) declined at a slightly slower rate. However, expected employment growth (3 percent after 6 percent) slowed and both personal production expectations (5 percent after 7 percent) and general production expectations (minus 8 percent after minus 7 percent) deteriorated. Expected selling prices (0 percent after 4 percent) were also softer.
Elsewhere, sentiment was stable in construction (103) but worsened in both services (99 after 101) and, more notably, retail trade (99 after 104). As a result, the economy-wide gauge dipped from 99 to 98.
Today's mixed update points to a sluggish February for the French economy and argues against any significant pick-up in the flash PMI data due shortly. Still, at now 21 and 10 respectively, the RPI and RPI-P show overall economic activity still running a little ahead of market expectations.