ActualPrevious
Index50.049.0

Highlights

Ending a long run of sub-50 readings, the global manufacturing PMI managed to hit breakeven 50.0 on the nose. Having held in a narrow 48 to 49 since August 2022 it's hard to call January's result a breakout, but it is an improvement.

Output led January's data with a 50.3 showing and a nearly 1 point gain from December. New orders, however, remain flat at 49.8 with employment up 7 tenths but no better than 49.5. Despite transportation delays in the US and troubles associated with the Red Sea, price data remain very subdued.

The country breakdown has India on top with Brazil and Russia near the top. The US is in the upper half with European countries, including Germany, at or near the bottom.

Definition

J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI gives an overview of the global manufacturing sector. It is based on monthly surveys of over 10,000 purchasing executives from 32 of the world’s leading economies, including the U.S., Japan, Germany, France and China which together account for an estimated 89 percent of global manufacturing output. It reflects changes in global output, employment, new orders and prices. The Global Manufacturing PMI is seasonally adjusted at the national level to control for varying seasonal patterns in each country and is produced by J.P. Morgan and Markit Economics in association with ISM and the International Federation of Purchasing and supply Management (IFPSM).

Description

Investors need to keep their fingers on the pulse of the economy because it dictates how various types of investments will perform. The J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI provides advance insight into the global manufacturing sector, which gives investors a better understanding of business conditions and valuable information about the economic backdrop of global markets. The stock market likes to see healthy economic growth because that generally translates to higher corporate profits. The bond market prefers less rapid growth and is extremely sensitive to whether the economy is growing too quickly and causing potential inflationary pressures. The PMI data are also used by many Central Banks to help make interest rate decisions.

The J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI data give a detailed look at the manufacturing sector including the pace of manufacturing growth and the direction of growth for this sector. Since the manufacturing sector is a major source of cyclical variability in the economy, this report has a big influence on the markets. In addition, its sub-indexes provide a picture of output, employment, new orders and prices.
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