The MBA mortgage applications index is 10.6 percent lower in the February 16 week. It is 16.8 percent lower than four weeks ago and 8.9 percent lower than a year earlier. The purchase index is 10.1 percent lower in the current week and 23.4 percent lower than four weeks ago and 13.0 percent lower than a year earlier. The refinancing index is 11.4 percent lower and is 2.6 percent lower than four weeks ago and 0.1 percent higher than a year earlier. In the February 16 week, refinancing accounted for 32.6 percent of mortgage applications compared to 34.0 percent in the prior week.

MBA Chief Economist Mike Fratantoni said,"Mortgage rates moved back above 7 percent last week following news that inflation picked up in January, dimming hopes of a near term rate cut." He continued,"Mortgage applications dropped as a result with a larger decline in refinance applications. Potential homebuyers are quite sensitive to these rate changes, as affordability is strained with both higher rates and higher home values in this supply-constrained market."

The fixed-rate mortgage index is 10.9 percent lower in the February 16 week. It is 17.8 percent lower than four weeks ago and 8.7 percent lower than this week last year. The adjustable-rate mortgage index is 5.7 percent lower and is 2.5 percent lower than four weeks ago and 11.0 percent lower than a year ago.

The contract rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is 7.06 percent in the current week. This is 19 basis points higher than the prior week, 28 basis points higher than four weeks ago, and 44 basis points higher than a year earlier. The contract rate for a 5-year adjustable-rate mortgage is 6.37 percent in the week. This is 7 basis points higher than the prior week, 15 basis points higher than four weeks ago, and 71 basis points higher than a year earlier. In the February 16 week, adjustable-rate mortgages accounted for 7.4 percent of mortgage applications compared to 7.0 percent in the prior week. Homebuyers are again looking for options to improve affordability through use of adjustable-rate mortgages, as well as to refinance as soon as fixed rates make it feasible.

The Mortgage Bankers' Association compiles various mortgage loan indexes. The purchase applications index measures applications at mortgage lenders. This is a leading indicator for single-family home sales and housing construction.

This provides a gauge of not only the demand for housing, but economic momentum. People have to be feeling pretty comfortable and confident in their own financial position to buy a house. Furthermore, this narrow piece of data has a powerful multiplier effect through the economy, and therefore across the markets and your investments. By tracking economic data such as the Mortgage Bankers Association purchase applications, investors can gain specific investment ideas as well as broad guidance for managing a portfolio.

Each time the construction of a new home begins, it translates to more construction jobs, and income which will be pumped back into the economy. Once a home is sold, it generates revenues for the home builder and the realtor. It brings a myriad of consumption opportunities for the buyer. Refrigerators, washers, dryers and furniture are just a few items new home buyers might purchase. The economic"ripple effect" can be substantial especially when you think a hundred thousand new households around the country are doing this every month.

Since the economic backdrop is the most pervasive influence on financial markets, housing construction has a direct bearing on stocks, bonds and commodities. In a more specific sense, trends in the MBA purchase applications index carry valuable clues for the stocks of home builders, mortgage lenders and home furnishings companies.