Actual | Previous | Consensus | |
---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.09% | 0.26% | |
Year to Date on Y/Y Basis | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% |
Highlights
In addition to monthly data for December and the quarterly GDP data published today, officials also published annual data, which they characterised in the accompanying statement as evidence of steady improvement in the economy's"momentum of recovery". Officials will announce growth and inflation forecasts for 2024 at the annual meeting of the National People's Congress in March, but today's statement suggests officials remain comfortable with current policy settings for now, despite ongoing weakness in the property market.
Today's GDP and monthly activity data were broadly in line with consensus forecasts, except for retail sales, which were somewhat weaker than expected. The China RPI rose from minus 14 to zero and the RPI-P rose from minus 10 to plus 10, indicating that recent Chinese data in sum are coming in close to consensus forecasts.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Investment in fixed assets therefore provides information about near-term and future economic growth. Investors need to closely track the economic growth because it usually dictates how investments will perform. Investors in the stock market like to see healthy economic growth because robust business activity translates to higher corporate profits. Bond investors are more highly sensitive to inflation and robust economic activity could potentially pave the road to inflation. By tracking economic data such as GDP, investors will know what the economic backdrop is for these markets and their portfolios.