Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Index | 44.2 | 44.2 to 44.2 | 44.4 | 44.2 |
Highlights
Manufacturing output (44.4 after 44.6) fell again and by more than mid-quarter. Production continued to be hit by weak demand with new orders falling for a seventh successive month on the back of weakness in both the domestic and overseas markets. Backlogs similarly extended their downtrend while employment also was cut once more. On a more positive note, supplier delivery times shortened further and, despite the softness of current conditions, business expectations for the year ahead improved to their highest level since April. That said, the latest reading was still historically weak. Input costs were down for a tenth straight month and factory gate prices were also lowered again.
In terms of national PMIs, the best performing country was Greece (51.3) which was the only member state to register above the 50-expansion threshold. Ireland (48.9) was not far behind, but the gap widens after that with Spain (46.2), Italy (45.3), the Netherlands (44.8), Germany (43.3), France (42.1) and Austria (42.0) all well short.
Today's report means that the Eurozone RPI and RPI-P opens 2024 standing at minus 4. In other words, overall economic activity is moving in broadly line with forecasts and so continues to support expectations for ECB easing over the course of the year.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The S&P Global PMI manufacturing data give a detailed look at the manufacturing sector, how busy it is and where things are headed. Since the manufacturing sector is a major source of cyclical variability in the economy, this report has a big influence on the markets. And its sub-indexes provide a picture of orders, output, employment and prices.