Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | -0.1% | 0.4% | -0.3% |
Year over Year | -1.8% | -1.8% |
Highlights
November's monthly advance reflected a 1.2 percent gain in durables within which transport equipment rose 1.5 percent and household durables 1.0 percent. Textiles and clothing also gained 1.8 percent and other engineered goods 0.1 percent. Elsewhere, food was flat and energy up 1.4 percent. As a result, overall goods spending increased 0.7 percent, its first rise since July.
However, despite November's increase, average overall goods sales in the first two months of the quarter were down 0.8 percent versus their mean level in the previous period. Without a strong end to the year - and confidence remains historically weak - goods consumption will subtract from fourth quarter GDP growth. Even so, with today's updates putting the French ECDI at 25 and the ECDI-P at 35, economic activity in general is still running rather hotter than generally expected.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The pattern in consumer spending is often the foremost influence on stock and bond markets. For stocks, strong economic growth translates to healthy corporate profits and higher stock prices. For bonds, the focus is whether economic growth goes overboard and leads to inflation. Ideally, the economy walks that fine line between strong growth and excessive (inflationary) growth.
Retail sales not only give you a sense of the big picture, but also the trends among different types of retailers. Perhaps auto sales are especially strong or apparel sales are showing exceptional weakness. These trends from the retail sales data can help you spot specific investment opportunities, without having to wait for a company's quarterly or annual report.