Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Composite Index | 43.7 | 44.8 | 44.6 |
Services Index | 44.3 | 45.7 | 45.4 |
Highlights
However, the composite index rose slightly to 44.8 from 44.6 in November, the best performance since August, beating the consensus forecast of 43.7.
Service sector activity contracted for the seventh consecutive month, even though the PMI index increased slightly to 45.7 from 45.4 in November, above the median forecast of 44.3.
Despite the PMI data remaining stubbornly below the break-even level of 50, French businesses reported increased optimism for the new year, with growth expectations edging to a 4-month high, according to S&P Global. Manufacturing firms experienced falling prices, while service providers saw less dramatic price increases than in recent months.
Employment which has become a key metric for European policy makers, who are sensitive to signs of wage increases declined for the second month in over three years. New business for service providers declined for the eighth straight month, albeit at a slower pace than the record decline recorded in November.
The data suggest that France could suffer another downturn in the fourth quarter. PMI data averaged 45.6 in the third quarter during which gross domestic product declined by 0.1 percent above the 44.7 average over the final three months of the year.
Revised eurozone composite PMI data are due later Thursday amid hot debate over the timing of a rate cut from the European Central Bank. ECB officials including President Christine Lagarde have insisted that the governing council has yet to even discuss reducing borrowing rates. But that has not prevented market bets on a rate cut coming as soon as April.
The PMI data take French RPI to 17 and the RPI-P to 20, meaning that the economy is performing rather better than expected.