| Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Month over Month | 0.3% | 0.2% to 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Year over Year | 6.6% | 6.3% |
Highlights
The seasonally adjusted FHFA house price index rose 0.3 percent in November to match the 0.3 percent gain in October. The increase also matches the Econoday's consensus estimate. The index is up 6.6 percent from a year ago, the largest year-over-year increase since 6.8 percent in December 2022.
The unadjusted index is down 0.3 percent in November and down 0.2 percent in October but is up 6.6 percent compared to November 2022.
While prices for existing homes and home valuations for refinancing are moderating in recent months, lean stocks of existing homes for sale are keeping prices more elevated than they would be otherwise.
The unadjusted index is down 0.3 percent in November and down 0.2 percent in October but is up 6.6 percent compared to November 2022.
While prices for existing homes and home valuations for refinancing are moderating in recent months, lean stocks of existing homes for sale are keeping prices more elevated than they would be otherwise.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
The house price index is expected to rise 0.3 percent in November which would match a lower-than-expected 0.3 percent increase in October.
Definition
The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House Price Index (HPI) covers single-family housing, using data provided by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The House Price Index is derived from transactions involving conforming conventional mortgages purchased or securitized by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. In contrast to other house price indexes, the sample is limited by the ceiling amount for conforming loans purchased by these government-sponsored enterprises (GSE). Mortgages insured by the FHA, VA, or other federal entities are excluded because they are not"conventional" loans. The FHFA House Price Index is a repeat transactions measure. It compares prices or appraised values for similar houses.
Description
Home values affect much in the economy - especially the housing and consumer sectors. Periods of rising home values encourage new construction while periods of soft home prices can dampen housing starts. Changes in home values, and the ability to draw upon expanding lines of home equity loans, play key roles in consumer spending and in consumer financial health.
Beginning with the onset of the subprime credit crunch in mid-2007 and with it a downturn in home prices, the ability of borrowers to refinance their debt into affordable fixed rate mortgages was sharply constrained. This in turn limited aggregate consumer spending and contributed to the depth of the Great Recession. From its peak in 2007 to its nadir in 2011, FHFA's house price index fell nearly 30 percent. The subsequent recovery proved slow but steady with the index finally surpassing its prior highs in 2016.
Beginning with the onset of the subprime credit crunch in mid-2007 and with it a downturn in home prices, the ability of borrowers to refinance their debt into affordable fixed rate mortgages was sharply constrained. This in turn limited aggregate consumer spending and contributed to the depth of the Great Recession. From its peak in 2007 to its nadir in 2011, FHFA's house price index fell nearly 30 percent. The subsequent recovery proved slow but steady with the index finally surpassing its prior highs in 2016.
