Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 2.0% | 1.1% to 5.3% | 2.6% | -3.6% | -3.4% |
Highlights
November's split between the report's two main components shows no change for nondurable goods -- the new data in today's report and where details are yet to be published -- and a 5.4 percent jump for durable orders which is unrevised from last week's advance reading.
Unfilled orders extended their climb in November, rising 1.3 percent for the second time in three months sandwiched between a 0.4 percent rise in October. The year-over-year build is nearly in the double digits, at 8.9 percent.
This build is tied directly to commercial aircraft (nondefense aircraft and parts) where monthly gains the last three reports are 3.0 percent, 0.8 percent, and 3.2 percent. On the year, orders here are up 20.4 percent.
Another positive, at least for the November data, is a 0.8 percent jump in core capital goods orders (nondefense ex-aircraft) which is unrevised from the advance release. Yet gains for this key indication of business investment have been uneven; the annual growth rate is only 1.7 percent which, nevertheless, compares favorably with a 0.7 percent rise for total factory orders.
Other readings include a 0.5 percent rise for total shipments but only a 0.1 percent build for total inventories.
Today's report beat expectations and helped lift Econoday's Relative Performance Index to a very healthy plus 30 to indicate that recent US economic data on net are coming in noticeably above Econoday's consensus forecasts.