Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|---|
20-City Adjusted - M/M | 0.4% | 0.4% to 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% |
20-City Unadjusted - M/M | -0.2% | 0.1% | ||
20-City Unadjusted - Y/Y | 5.8% | 5.6% to 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% |
Highlights
Detroit remained out in front at 8.2 percent yearly growth with San Diego right behind at 8.0 percent. Portland, at minus 0.7 percent, remained the only city in annual decline. Still, the spread between the first and last of the 20 cities is the narrowest since early 2021.
"The tight disparity speaks to a rising tide across the country, with less evidence of micro-markets bucking the trend," according to the report."The days of markets in the South rising double digits with markets in the Midwest remaining flat are over."
November's results came at a time when mortgage rates had peaked, at nearly 8 percent for Freddie Mac's 30-year fixed rate average. This rate has fallen over one percentage point since which the report says could support further annual gains in home prices.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Beginning with the onset of the subprime credit crunch in mid-2007 and with it a downturn in home prices, the ability of borrowers to refinance their debt into affordable fixed rate mortgages was sharply constrained. This in turn limited aggregate consumer spending and contributed to the depth of the Great Recession. From their peak in late 2006 and early 2007 to their nadir in mid-2012, Case-Shiller's home price indexes fell nearly 50 percent. The subsequent recovery proved slow but steady with the indexes finally surpassing their prior highs in early 2018.