Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.3% | -0.1% to 0.4% | -1.0% | -0.1% |
Year over Year | -2.3% | -2.7% to -1.8% | -2.9% | -2.5% |
Highlights
On the month, expenditures slumped 1.0 percent, much weaker than expected, after dipping 0.1 percent in October and rising 0.3 percent in September. Lower temperatures generally supported demand for winter clothing and heaters while pent-up demand for eating out and traveling had already slowed down.
The widespread move among consumers to switch to discount mobile phone plans remains in place while the pandemic-era necessity to simplify weddings and funerals continued to push down the costs for ceremonies.
The core measure of real average household spending (excluding housing, motor vehicles and remittance), a key indicator used in GDP calculation, fell 0.9 percent on the year in November, much smaller than the 2.9 percent drop in overall spending, after falling 3.6 percent in October. The ministry's overall assessment on household spending is unchanged at flat.
The average real income of households with salaried workers posted the 14th straight year-over-year drop, down 4.7 percent in November (down 1.6 in nominal terms) after falling 5.2 percent October (down a nominal 1.5 percent).
Econoday's Relative Performance Index stood at plus 18, above zero, which indicates the Japanese economy is performing better than expected after outperforming with a wider margin recently. Excluding the impact of inflation, the RPI was at plus 25.
Both the government and the Bank of Japan have been providing stimulus to help the economy recover from the pandemic-caused slump. Nominal wages are expected to grow at a fast pace in the current fiscal year amid labor shortages but real wages remain below year-earlier levels.