Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | -0.5% | -1.1% to 0.2% | -2.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% |
Year over Year | 5.3% | 4.0% to 5.7% | 2.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% |
Highlights
On the month, retail sales plummeted a seasonally adjusted 2.9 percent, versus the median forecast of a 0.5 percent dip, after rebounding a revised 1.1 percent in November and slumping 1.7 percent in October. Demand for winter clothing stabilized after a jump in the previous month, when a cold snap replaced months of warm weather.
The number of visitors from other countries has recovered to pre-Covid levels, generally supporting the retail and tourism industries but the year-over-year increase in department store sales has decelerated.
The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry downgraded its assessment, saying retail sales are"taking one step forward and one step back." Previously, it had said sales were"on an uptrend." The three-month moving average in seasonally adjusted retail sales slumped 1.2 percent on the month in December for a third straight drop.
Econoday's Relative Performance Index stood at minus 21, below zero, which indicates the Japanese economy is performing worse than expected. Excluding the impact of inflation, the RPI was at minus 10.
The government said its monthly economic report last week that Japan still needs monetary and fiscal stimulus and growth strategies to keep itself from falling back into deflation, repeating its request first made in May 2022 that the Bank of Japan should"achieve the price stability target of 2 percent in a sustainable and stable manner, accompanied by wage increase."