Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Composite Index | 44.5 | 44.6 | 44.6 |
Services Index | 45.3 | 45.4 | 45.2 |
Highlights
The composite index steadied at 44.6, unchanged from the October reading, a slight improvement on the consensus (and flash) estimate of 44.5.
Service sector activity contracted for the sixth consecutive month, even though the PMI index increased slightly to 45.4 from 45.2 in October. The November reading came slightly above the consensus estimate of 45.3.
New business receipts in the service sector declined by the quickest pace in three years, with 12-month growth expectations also lower. Employment growth slowed, but firms reported a modest degree of job creation.
However, wage growth remained a concern for many businesses, which, coupled with higher suppliers' fees, resulted int still-substantial cost pressures according to S&P Global, which compiles the data.
With the PMI data remaining stubbornly under the break-even level of 50, the French economy could be heading toward a contraction in the fourth quarter, after gross domestic product retreated by 0.1 percent in the June quarter.
The latest numbers will only reinforce the market belief that the next move in Eurozone rates will be down with an initial reduction coming as soon as the middle of next year.
The PMI data take the French RPI to minus 19 and the RPI-P to minus six, meaning that the is underperforming market expectations.