ConsensusActualPreviousRevised
Month over Month0.1%0.53%0.40%0.20%
Year over Year0.26%-0.52%

Highlights

India's wholesale price index rose 0.26 percent on the year in November, after falling 0.52 percent in October. This year-over-year increase in the index follows an extended run of deflation in producer prices. The index rose 0.53 percent on the month after a previous increase of 0.20 percent. Consumer price data published earlier in the week also showed stronger price pressures, with headline inflation picking up from 4.87 percent in October to 5.55 percent in November, further above the mid-point of the Reserve Bank of India's target range of 2.0 percent to 6.0 percent.

The small year-over-year increase in wholesale prices in November was driven by food prices and manufacturing prices. Food prices, which account for around 15 percent of the index, rose 4.69 percent on the year after increasing 1.07 percent previously, while manufacturing prices, around 64 percent of the index, fell 0.64 percent on the year after a previous decline of 1.13 percent. Fuel prices, around 13 percent of the index, fell at a sharper pace, down 4.61 percent after dropping 2.47 percent previously.

Market Consensus Before Announcement

Prices are expected to edge 0.1 percent higher on the month after a 0.4 percent increase in October.

Definition

The Wholesale Price Index (WPI) covers primary articles, manufactured products and fuel and power. The data are not seasonally adjusted and the main focus in on the annual change in the index. This can be seen as an indicator of pipeline price pressures and is a loose leading indicator of consumer price inflation as targeted by the RBI.

Description

The Wholesale Price Index is closely followed as an indicator of inflation by the Reserve Bank of India, as well as many Indian corporations and banks.

Inflation is an increase in the overall prices of goods and services. The relationship between inflation and interest rates is the key to understanding how indicators such as the WPI influence the markets - and your investments.

Inflation (along with various risks) basically explains how interest rates are set on everything from your mortgage and auto loans to Treasury bills, notes and bonds. As the rate of inflation changes and as expectations on inflation change, the markets adjust interest rates. The effect ripples across stocks, bonds, commodities, and your portfolio, often in a dramatic fashion.

By tracking inflation, whether high or low, rising or falling, investors can anticipate how different types of investments will perform. Over the long run, the bond market will rally (fall) when increases in the WPI are small (large). The equity market rallies with the bond market because low inflation promises low interest rates and is good for profits.
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