Consensus | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
Year over Year | 2.2% | 2.7% |
Highlights
When adjusting for prices, real sales actually grew a robust 1.4 percent on the month.
The monthly acceleration in nominal sales was likely short lived as the advance indicator points to a flat showing in November based on responses from 54.5 percent of companies surveyed.
Gains were widespread across seven of nine sectors in October, led by a 1.1 percent increase in motor vehicles and parts, without which nominal sales were still up 0.6 percent. General merchandise sales were also robust, with a 2.0 percent increase. Partly offsetting gains was a 3.1 percent drop in gasoline and fuel. Core sales, excluding motor vehicles and parts as well as gasoline and fuel, rose 1.2 percent. The only other major sector to post a decline was building material and garden equipment and supplies, down 0.2 percent on the month.
Regionally, gains were also widespread across nine provinces, with Ontario recording the largest advance (1.0 percent). Sales decreased only in Alberta.
Econoday's Relative Performance Index, at plus 15, is within a zone consistent with limited tightening risk. And if the advance indicator for November materializes, it would further comfort the Bank of Canada.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The pattern in consumer spending is often the foremost influence on stock and bond markets. For stocks, strong economic growth translates to healthy corporate profits and higher stock prices. For bonds, the focus is whether economic growth goes overboard and leads to inflation. Ideally, the economy walks that fine line between strong growth and excessive (inflationary) growth.
Retail sales not only give you a sense of the big picture, but also the trends among different types of retailers. Perhaps apparel sales are showing exceptional weakness but electronics sales are soaring. These trends from the retail sales data can help you spot specific investment opportunities, without having to wait for a company's quarterly or annual report.