Actual | Previous | Consensus | |
---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.87% | 0.39% | |
Year over Year | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% |
Highlights
Stronger growth in industrial production in November was broad-based across sectors. Manufacturing output rose 6.7 percent on the year after increasing 5.1 percent previously, mining output rose 3.9 percent after a previous increase of 2.9 percent, and output in the utilities sector rose 9.9 percent after a previous increase of 1.5 percent.
Officials characterised today's data as evidence that"the national economy further consolidated its good momentum" and that conditions are"turning for the better". However, although industrial production and retail sales both recorded stronger year-over-year growth in November, weakness in the property market remains a major drag on the economy. PMI surveys published earlier in the month also showed ongoing subdued conditions in the Chinese economy. The comments from officials, however, suggest that they remain comfortable with current policy settings for now, in line with previous statements.
The monthly activity data published today showed industrial production was stronger than the consensus forecast, while retail sales were weaker and investment was in line with expectations. The China RPI and RPI-P are unchanged at plus 7 and plus 20 respectively, indicating that recent Chinese data in sum are coming in close to consensus forecasts.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The industrial growth rate is used to reflect a certain period of increase or decrease in volume of industrial production indicators. The indicator can be used to estimate the short term trend of the industrial economy, to judge the extent of the economic boom and also to be an important reference and basis for the formulation and adjustment of economic policies.