Consensus | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Quarter over Quarter [Adjusted] | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | -0.1% |
Year over Year [Not Adjusted] | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
Highlights
Domestic demand was boosted by a 0.5 percent quarterly rise in government expenditure, the only component to show any real strength. Household spending was up a modest 0.2 percent, down from 0.4 percent previously and a rate matched by construction. Investment in equipment and software fell a further 1.1 percent, compounding the 3.4 percent slump recorded in the second quarter. Consequently, with business inventories strongly negative, growth would have been much more subdued but for a positive contribution from net foreign trade. Here, exports of goods and services increased 1.7 percent while imports fell 3.6 percent, their second successive decline. This added 3.2 percentage points to the overall quarterly change.
In sum, the economy had a respectable third quarter but sluggish consumer spending and weak gross fixed capital formation suggest that growth is likely to be subdued this quarter. To be sure, there is nothing here to make the SNB want to raise its policy rate later this month. That said, at least today's data finally lift both the Swiss RPI (15) and RPI-P (20) back above zero, implying that economic activity in general is now running slightly ahead of market expectations.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The GDP report contains a treasure-trove of information which not only paints an image of the overall economy, but tells investors about important trends within the big picture. GDP components such as consumer spending, business and residential investment, and price (inflation) indexes illuminate the economy's undercurrents, which can translate to investment opportunities and guidance in managing a portfolio.