Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Index | 43.8 | 44.2 | 43.1 |
Highlights
On a positive note, although output, new orders and purchasing activity all posted fresh declines, the rate of fall in each case was less than in October. That said, employment was pared by the most since August 2020 and the decrease in stocks of purchases was the second-fastest since December 2012. In addition, output would have fallen more sharply but for another decline in backlogs. Still, business confidence about the year ahead improved and growth expectations climbed to their highest level in three months. At the same time, inflation developments softened, with input costs posting another marked drop and output charges also reduced further.
In terms of national PMIs, the best performing member state was Greece (50.9) which, alongside Ireland (50.0) was the only member to match or beat the 50-expansion threshold. Elsewhere, Spain (46.3), the Netherlands (44.9), Italy (44.4), France (42.9), Germany (42.6) and Austria (42.2) all pointed to an ongoing recession.
The minor headline adjustment still leaves a gloomy prognosis for Eurozone manufacturing which looks on course to subtract from fourth quarter GDP growth. The good news is that the downswing is showing tentative signs of flattening out and weak demand is clearly putting downside pressure on costs. As such, the data should not trouble the ECB. Todays' update puts the region's RPI at minus 4 and the RPI-P at 13, meaning that overall economic activity is running much as expected despite some undershoot by prices.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The S&P Global PMI manufacturing data give a detailed look at the manufacturing sector, how busy it is and where things are headed. Since the manufacturing sector is a major source of cyclical variability in the economy, this report has a big influence on the markets. And its sub-indexes provide a picture of orders, output, employment and prices.