Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Composite Index | 50.1 | 50.7 | 48.7 |
Services Index | 50.5 | 50.9 | 49.5 |
Highlights
In large part the overall improvement was attributable to services where the final sector PMI weighed in at 50.9, up from November's 49.5 and similarly its highest level since July. New orders expanded modestly but activity was also supported by a sixth successive fall in backlogs. Still, employment gained ground and business sentiment about the year ahead was a little more buoyant too.
Meantime, inflation news was more robust. Input costs rose and faster wage growth in particular helped to boost output price inflation to a 4-month high.
In sum, the final November results are clearly on the strong side of earlier market expectations but underlying trends mean that recession risks have not gone away. That said, inflationary pressures in services will remain an issue for at least some BoE MPC members and next week's probable vote for no change in Bank Rate could well be split again. Today's report boosts the UK's RPI and RPI-P to 31 and 29 respectively. Both measures show overall economic activity running somewhat hotter than forecast.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The S&P Global PMI services data give a detailed look at the services sector, how busy it is and where things are headed. The indexes are widely used by businesses, governments and economic analysts in financial institutions to help better understand business conditions and guide corporate and investment strategy. In particular, central banks in many countries use the data to help make interest rate decisions. PMI surveys are the first indicators of economic conditions published each month and are therefore available well ahead of comparable data produced by government bodies.