Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Level | 46.7 | 47.2 | 44.8 |
Highlights
Output fell for a ninth straight month but at a slightly slower pace than at thew start of the quarter. That said, this was its ninth straight decline. New orders were also lower with exports extending their unbroken slide to some 22 months, but similarly the drop here was also less steep than previously. Elsewhere, headcount was trimmed and input buying reduced but business confidence improved with around 53 percent of companies expecting an increase in production over the coming year compared to 10 percent expecting a contraction.
Inflation news is mixed with another fall in input costs contrasting with a small rise in output prices as firms tried to repair battered profit margins.
In sum, UK manufacturing is still struggling but the downswing seems to be less marked than many feared implying less of a potential hit to fourth quarter GDP growth. To this end, today's update lifts the UK RPI to 14 and the RPI-P to 10, both measures showing overall economic activity running a little ahead of expectations.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The PMI manufacturing data give a detailed look at the manufacturing sector, how busy it is and where things are headed. Since the manufacturing sector is a major source of cyclical variability in the economy, this report has a big influence on the markets. And its sub-indexes provide a picture of orders, output, employment and prices.