Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | -2.6% | -3.9% to -2.4% | -3.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% |
Highlights
Orders for core capital goods (nondefense ex-aircraft) are revised 2 tenths lower to a decline of 0.3 percent that follow a 0.2 percent decline in September. These declines do follow a 0.9 percent surge in August but nevertheless aren't pointing to any building momentum for business investment.
Commercial aircraft are often a swing factor for factory data, down 49.6 percent in October after jumping 90.6 percent in September. Motor vehicle orders, likely reflecting October's labor strike, fell 0.8 percent.
Shipments are a negative in October's report, falling 1.4 percent including a 0.8 percent decline for durable goods. Unfilled orders, up 0.3 percent in October and 1.3 percent in September, continue to a be major plus for future shipments and factory employment as well. Inventories edged 0.1 percent higher for a second month in a row.
There are some positives in October's factory orders report which leave the Relative Performance Index at minus 7, close enough to the zero line to indicate that recent US data on net are coming within expectations.