ActualPrevious
Index49.450.0

Highlights

The manufacturing PMI ended November at the mid-month's 49.4 flash, indicating slight month-over-month contraction in composite activity. This is down from no change in October (50.0 on the PMI) and marks the sixth sub-50 showing in the last seven months.

The most important reading in this report is new business which, like the headline index, contracted for the sixth time in seven months. Respondents cited generally weak demand as well as customers running down stocks amid economic uncertainty. Backlogs fell at an increasing pace contributing to contraction in employment for the sample.

Price indications include what the report describes as"notable moderation" in input costs tied to lower energy and non-metail prices. The report notes"particular pressure" in resin and steel prices. Pass through of costs to customers eased in the month.

Watch at the top of the hour for ISM's manufacturing index which is expected to improve to 47.5 in December from November's 46.7.

Definition

Based on monthly questionnaire surveys of selected companies, the Purchasing Managers' Manufacturing Index (PMI) offers an advance indication on month-to-month activity in the private sector economy by tracking changes in variables such as production, new orders, stock levels, employment and prices across manufacturing industries. The final index for the current month is released roughly a week after the flash.

Description

Investors need to keep their fingers on the pulse of the economy because it dictates how various types of investments will perform. By tracking economic data such as the ISM manufacturing index in the U.S. and the Markit PMIs in the U.S. and elsewhere, investors will know what the economic backdrop is for the various markets. The stock market likes to see healthy economic growth because that translates to higher corporate profits. The bond market prefers less rapid growth and is extremely sensitive to whether the economy is growing too quickly and causing potential inflationary pressures.

The Markit PMI manufacturing data give a detailed look at the manufacturing sector, how busy it is and where things are headed. Since the manufacturing sector is a major source of cyclical variability in the economy, this report has a big influence on the markets. And its sub-indexes provide a picture of orders, output, employment and prices.

Markit originally began collecting monthly Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data in the U.S. in April 2004, initially from a panel of manufacturers in the U.S. electronics goods producing sector. In May 2007, Markit's U.S. PMI research was extended out to cover producers of metal goods. In October 2009, Markit's U.S. Manufacturing PMI survey panel was extended further to cover all areas of U.S. manufacturing activity. Back data for Markit's U.S. Manufacturing PMI between May 2007 and September 2009 are an aggregation of data collected from producers of electronic goods and metal goods producers, while data from October 2009 are based on data collected from a panel representing the entire U.S. manufacturing economy. Markit's total U.S. Manufacturing PMI survey panel comprises over 600 companies.
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