Actual | Previous | Consensus | |
---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.39% | 0.36% | |
Year over Year | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% |
Highlights
Steady growth in industrial production in October reflects offsetting moves in different sectors. Manufacturing output rose 5.1 percent on the year after increasing 4.4 percent previously, while mining output rose 2.9 percent after a previous increase of 1.7 percent. Output in the utilities sector, however, recorded slower year-over-year growth, up 1.5 percent after a previous increase of 3.5 percent.
Industrial production and other activity data published today show relatively steady year-over-year and month-over-month growth in October. PMI surveys and inflation data published earlier in the month also showed relatively steady but subdued conditions. Ongoing weakness in the property market, however, continues to weigh on overall activity. Officials characterised today's data as evidence that China's economy"sustained the good momentum of recovery" in October, with their assessment providing little indication that they believe substantial changes to policy settings are required.
Activity data published today were mixed relative to expectations, but the biggest miss was to the upside. The China RPI and RPI-P rose from minus 64 to minus 21 and from minus 100 to minus 40 respectively, indicating that recent Chinese data in sum are continuing to come in below consensus forecasts.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The industrial growth rate is used to reflect a certain period of increase or decrease in volume of industrial production indicators. The indicator can be used to estimate the short term trend of the industrial economy, to judge the extent of the economic boom and also to be an important reference and basis for the formulation and adjustment of economic policies.