Actual | Previous | Consensus | |
---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | -0.1% | 0.2% | |
Year over Year | -0.2% | 0.0% | -0.2% |
Highlights
Today's inflation data provide further evidence, after last week's PMI survey data, that momentum in the Chinese economy's recovery has stalled again despite recent steps to loosen policy and improve liquidity conditions. This may strengthen the case for further policy adjustments in coming weeks.
The fall in headline CPI matched the consensus forecast for a decline of 0.2 percent. The China RPI and RPI-P fell from minus 43 to minus 64 and minus 100 respectively, indicating that recent Chinese data in sum are now coming in well below consensus forecasts.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The CPI measures the change in the level of prices for a specified basket of goods and services normally purchased by urban and rural residents. Approximately 226 areas throughout the country are covered, including 80 counties and 146 cities. The current CPI is an annually chained Laspeyres price index and has been available since 2001. From 1978 to 2000, the index was compiled using current year weights for most items.