Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.1% | 0.1% | -0.1% |
Year over Year | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% |
Highlights
Domestic prices were flat on the month, nudging their yearly rate steady a tick firmer to 2.2 percent. Import prices climbed 0.3 percent, in line with September's gain but this was small enough to trim their annual rate from 0.5 percent to 0.4 percent.
Within the CPI, the main upward pressure on the monthly change came from clothing and footwear where a 1.7 percent spike added almost 0.1 percentage point. The only other increase of any size was in alcohol and tobacco (0.9 percent). On the downside, the only significant fall was in household goods and services (minus 0.7 percent). Most other categories posted only minor monthly changes. As a result, core prices (excluding unprocessed food and energy) rose 0.2 percent versus September, lifting the annual underlying rate from 1.3 percent to 1.5 percent. However, this remains well below the SNB's near-2 percent CPI target.
Despite the acceleration in the core rate, today's report should not unduly worry the SNB. The central bank continues to warn that interest rates may have to be hiked again but without a marked deterioration in inflation trends, the December announcement should see policy left on hold. To this end, the Swiss RPI now stands at minus 14 and the RPI-P at 6 meaning that limited underperformance by overall economic activity remains wholly attributable to the unexpected softness of prices.