Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Level | 45.2 | 44.8 | 44.3 |
Highlights
Output fell for an eighth straight month, the longest sustained sequence of declines since 2008/09, and at a slightly faster rate than at quarter-end. Demand continued to contract at home and abroad, prompting another drop in purchasing activity as companies sought to reduce finished goods inventories. Yet another fall in backlogs was amongst the steepest on record and headcount was similarly cut once more. Despite all this, businesses remained optimistic about prospects for the year ahead but sentiment still sank to a 10-month low.
On a brighter note, inflationary pressures eased further. Input costs fell for a sixth consecutive month while output prices were trimmed for the fourth time in the last five.
Developments in UK manufacturing continue to largely mirror those seen in continental Europe. The sector is still struggling in the face of weak demand in a highly competitive market. Falling costs is one of the few positives in today's report but this is unlikely to stop the sector from being a drag on fourth quarter GDP growth. To this end, the negative headline revision leaves both the UK RPI (minus 16) and RPI-P (minus 27) far enough below zero to indicate that even current forecasts for weak overall economic activity may be subject to downside risk.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The PMI manufacturing data give a detailed look at the manufacturing sector, how busy it is and where things are headed. Since the manufacturing sector is a major source of cyclical variability in the economy, this report has a big influence on the markets. And its sub-indexes provide a picture of orders, output, employment and prices.