ActualPrevious
Index48.849.1

Highlights

Global manufacturing contracted again in October, falling 3 tenths to 48.8. This index has been stuck just below the 50 breakeven threshold for the last 14 months. And a 15th month of contraction looks to be in the cards based on new orders which, though edging higher, is still noticeably weak at 48.6. In a signal of weak cross-border trade, new export orders edged lower to 47.5. Employment is in contraction at 48.7 as is output at 48.9. Optimism for future output remains solid at 58.5 though this reading is down 2.2 points from September. One special positive is subdued pressure for prices, at 53.1 for inputs and 51.5 for outputs. India leads the country breakdown followed by Russia and Mexico; eurozone countries continue to bring up the rear with Germany once again at the very bottom.

Definition

J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI gives an overview of the global manufacturing sector. It is based on monthly surveys of over 10,000 purchasing executives from 32 of the world’s leading economies, including the U.S., Japan, Germany, France and China which together account for an estimated 89 percent of global manufacturing output. It reflects changes in global output, employment, new orders and prices. The Global Manufacturing PMI is seasonally adjusted at the national level to control for varying seasonal patterns in each country and is produced by J.P. Morgan and Markit Economics in association with ISM and the International Federation of Purchasing and supply Management (IFPSM).

Description

Investors need to keep their fingers on the pulse of the economy because it dictates how various types of investments will perform. The J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI provides advance insight into the global manufacturing sector, which gives investors a better understanding of business conditions and valuable information about the economic backdrop of global markets. The stock market likes to see healthy economic growth because that generally translates to higher corporate profits. The bond market prefers less rapid growth and is extremely sensitive to whether the economy is growing too quickly and causing potential inflationary pressures. The PMI data are also used by many Central Banks to help make interest rate decisions.

The J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI data give a detailed look at the manufacturing sector including the pace of manufacturing growth and the direction of growth for this sector. Since the manufacturing sector is a major source of cyclical variability in the economy, this report has a big influence on the markets. In addition, its sub-indexes provide a picture of output, employment, new orders and prices.
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