Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 1.6% | 0.8% to 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
Highlights
Commercial aircraft (nondefense aircraft and parts) jumped 92.5 percent to lead September's gains. Monthly swings for aircraft have been common in a rising trend but it's machinery, up 0.7 percent, that underpins the fundamental strength of September's data. Joining machinery is a 0.8 percent gain for fabrications and 1.0 percent gains for both computers & electronics as well as for electrical equipment. These gains echo the rise in machinery and are inputs into the core capital-goods group where orders rose 0.5 percent following August's 0.9 percent jump (note September is revised 1 tenth lower from the advance report).
Unfilled orders, lifted here too by commercial aircraft, are another key positive, rising 1.4 percent to extend a run of gains that will support factory payrolls and also future shipments. Shipments in September rose 0.4 percent while inventories rose 0.2 percent.
These results belie broad weakness among most business surveys (including deepening contraction for the ISM manufacturing index) and point to building momentum for the factory sector going into the final quarter.