ConsensusConsensus RangeActualPrevious
Month over Month0.4%0.2% to 0.4%0.4%0.4%

Highlights

Business inventories rose an as-expected 0.4 percent in September to match August's build. Year-over-year, inventories were up 1.3 percent. Retailers continued to contribute the most to the build, up 0.9 percent in the month for yearly growth of 5.5 percent. Motor vehicles were once again the major contributor for the retail sector, up 2.1 percent on the month following 2.4 percent in August as supply constraints in the production chain unwind and imports rise. Builds for manufacturers and wholesalers both rose 0.2 percent on the month, the former up 0.1 percent on the year and the latter down 1.2 percent.

Market Consensus Before Announcement

Business inventories in September are expected to rise 0.4 percent to match a 0.4 percent rise in August.

Definition

Business inventories are the dollar amount of inventories held by manufacturers, wholesalers, and retailers. The level of inventories in relation to sales is an important indicator of the near-term direction of production activity.

Description

Investors need to monitor the economy closely because it usually dictates how various types of investments will perform. The stock market likes to see healthy economic growth because that translates to higher corporate profits. The bond market prefers more moderate growth that won't generate inflationary pressures.

Rising inventories can be an indication of business optimism that sales will be growing in the coming months. By looking at the ratio of inventories to sales, investors can see whether production demands will expand or contract in the near future. For example, if inventory growth lags sales growth, then manufacturers will have to boost production lest commodity shortages occur. On the other hand, if unintended inventory accumulation occurs (that is, sales do not meet expectations), then production will probably have to slow while those inventories are worked down. In this manner, the business inventory data provide a valuable forward-looking tool for tracking the economy.
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