Consensus | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.4% | 0.8% | -0.6% | -0.7% |
Year over Year | -3.1% | -2.0% | -1.4% |
Highlights
Durable goods rose by 0.3 percent, with household durables increasing by 0.8 percent, accounting for much of the September rebound.
Elsewhere, spending on food jumped by 1.2 percent, but that was nearly offset by the energy sector, which slumped by 1.3 percent. That led to a 0.2 percent gain in total household consumption.
The surprisingly strong consumer data helped to lift broader economic output into the black in the third quarter. Gross domestic product rose by 0.1 percent, with a 0.7 percent in household spending doing much of the heavy lifting.
The latest data put the French RPI at 14 and the RPI-P at 17, meaning that overall economic activity is performing just marginally better than market expectations.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The pattern in consumer spending is often the foremost influence on stock and bond markets. For stocks, strong economic growth translates to healthy corporate profits and higher stock prices. For bonds, the focus is whether economic growth goes overboard and leads to inflation. Ideally, the economy walks that fine line between strong growth and excessive (inflationary) growth.
Retail sales not only give you a sense of the big picture, but also the trends among different types of retailers. Perhaps auto sales are especially strong or apparel sales are showing exceptional weakness. These trends from the retail sales data can help you spot specific investment opportunities, without having to wait for a company's quarterly or annual report.