Consensus | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | -0.3% | -0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
Year over Year | -0.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% |
Highlights
Output declined by 0.3 percent, in line with the consensus forecast, following a 0.5 percent gain in July (revised downward from an unexpectedly strong initial estimate of up 0.8 percent).
Manufacturing output contracted by 0.4 percent month-over-month, dampened by a 1.0 percent decline in food and beverages and 1.2 percent slump in"other manufacturing," particularly pharmaceutical products. The picture wasn't entirely gloomy; output of transport equipment increased by 3.5 percent.
Away from manufacturing, construction declined by 1.4 percent month-over-month, while mining and quarrying softened by 1.3 percent.
Over the three months to August, industrial output increased by 0.4 percent, raising the prospect of the sector contributing positively to third quarter economic growth.
Manufacturing appears to be more robust than suggested by PMI surveys, which landed well below the 50.0 breakeven point in both July and August (before weakening even further in September).
The French RPI now stands at minus four and the RPI-P at 10, showing overall economic activity largely performing within market expectations.