Crop Conditions Summary
Cotton: Crop Condition
GoodExcellent 10/22 10/15 Change Last Yr. 10 Yr. High(Year) Low(Year) Yield Last Area
Select States 29 30 -1 30 45 67(2004) 29(2023) 947.0 11.087
Texas 10 11 -1 10 35 64(2004) 10(2023) 796.0 6.117
Georgia 59 57 +2 62 51 92(1992) 17(2018) 975.0 1.200
Oklahoma 4 9 -5 5 44 91(2017) 1(2011) 348.0 0.570
Arkansas 74 74 0 74 76 86(1992) 32(1995) 1196.0 0.480
Crop Progress Summary
Corn: Percent Harvested
Harvested 10/22 10/15 Change Last Yr. 10 Yr. High(Year) Low(Year) Yield Last Area
Select States 59 45 +14 59 52 88(2012) 19(2009) 175.1 94.096
Iowa 62 42 +20 56 44 94(1988) 11(2009) 203.0 13.400
Illinois 70 52 +18 62 68 96(2010) 13(2009) 201.0 11.500
Nebraska 62 44 +18 62 45 90(2012) 14(2009) 184.0 9.500
Minnesota 62 45 +17 57 43 96(2012) 5(2009) 183.0 8.400
Cotton: Percent Harvested
Harvested 10/22 10/15 Change Last Yr. 10 Yr. High(Year) Low(Year) Yield Last Area
Select States 41 33 +8 44 37 60(2000) 17(2009) 947.0 11.087
Texas 40 37 +3 41 33 57(1998) 19(1986) 796.0 6.117
Georgia 22 13 +9 36 33 75(1990) 12(2009) 975.0 1.200
Oklahoma 22 12 +10 19 18 59(2000) 1(1986) 348.0 0.570
Arkansas 70 55 +15 68 64 93(2010) 12(2009) 1196.0 0.480
Soybeans: Percent Harvested
Harvested 10/22 10/15 Change Last Yr. 10 Yr. High(Year) Low(Year) Yield Last Area
Select States 76 62 +14 78 69 89(2010) 38(2009) 50.9 83.505
Illinois 80 61 +19 75 72 97(1987) 24(2009) 62.0 10.000
Iowa 87 74 +13 86 72 99(1987) 34(1985) 58.0 9.700
Minnesota 88 76 +12 93 85 100(2012) 25(1985) 49.0 7.500
North Dakota 85 66 +19 90 78 100(2012) 23(2019) 33.0 5.650
Winter Wheat: Percent Planted
Planted 10/22 10/15 Change Last Yr. 10 Yr. High(Year) Low(Year) Yield Last Area
Select States 77 68 +9 78 78 89(1987) 73(2018) 47.0 37.005
Kansas 85 70 +15 74 80 98(1987) 67(2017) 37.0 8.100
Texas 68 62 +6 74 69 92(1996) 61(2011) 30.0 6.400
Oklahoma 71 64 +7 69 78 95(1993) 60(2000) 28.0 4.600
Colorado 96 94 +2 97 97 100(2014) 94(2018) 25.0 2.300
US Crop Progress Estimates as of Oct 22, 2023
EstimatesPrevious
HightowerRangeLast WeekLast Year
Progress - Percent Completed
Corn Harvested6057 - 624561
Soybeans Harvested7874 - 816280
Winter Wheat Planted7977 - 816879

Highlights

Crop Conditions
Cotton
Cotton rated good / excellent (G/EX) as of October 22 was down 1% at 29% and poor / very poor was unchanged at 43%. Current G/EX is down 16% versus the 10 year average and Poor / Very Poor is up 20% versus the 10 year average. Of the 15 reported states 2 reported better, 6 worse, and 7 unchanged G/EX ratings. The good / excellent ratings for the top producing states were: Texas 10%(-1%), Georgia 59%(+2%), Arkansas 74%(0%), Mississippi 45%(0%), North Carolina 53%(-3%).

Crop Progress
Cotton
Cotton harvested as of October 22 was up 8% at 41%. This is down 3% versus last year and up 4% versus the 10 year average. The top producing states report Texas 40%(+3%), Georgia 22%(+9%), Arkansas 70%(+15%), Mississippi 70%(+9%), North Carolina 23%(+11%).

Winter Wheat
Winter Wheat planted as of October 22 was up 9% at 77%. This is down 1% versus last year and down 1% versus the 10 year average. The top producing states report Kansas 85%(+15%), Washington 95%(+8%), Montana 78%(+2%), Illinois 73%(+26%), Idaho 97%(+13%).

Corn
Corn harvested as of October 22 was up 14% at 59%. This is unchanged versus last year and up 7% versus the 10 year average. The top producing states report Iowa 62%(+20%), Illinois 70%(+18%), Nebraska 62%(+18%), Minnesota 62%(+17%), Indiana 42%(+12%).

Soybeans
Soybeans harvested as of October 22 was up 14% at 76%. This is down 2% versus last year and up 7% versus the 10 year average. The top producing states report Illinois 80%(+19%), Iowa 87%(+13%), Minnesota 88%(+12%), Indiana 65%(+13%), Nebraska 83%(+13%).

Definition

This full text file contains reports, issued weekly during the growing season (April to November), which lists planting, fruiting, and harvesting progress and overall condition of selected crops in major producing states. The data, summarized by crop and by state, are republished along with any revisions in the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin. During the months of December through March, the report is issued monthly titled State Stories.

Description

These reports offer weekly analysis of the progress and condition of the crops. State-by-state data is provided, which is aggregated into a number that covers the key producing states that make up the majority of the US crop.

Crop Progress is measured by stages and percentage of completion. This includes percent planted, percent harvested, and several stages in between. Some of the stages vary from crop to crop. For example, intermediate stages for corn include emergence, silk, dough, dent, and maturity, while the stages for soybeans include emergence, bloom, setting pods, and dropping leaves. The reports compare the current week with the same period in the previous year and with the 5-year average.

Inclement weather in the spring can delay planting, which could ultimately lower the production for that year. For corn, producers may be forced to pick faster-growing but lower-yielding seed varieties if planting gets delayed. In some cases, they may switch to soybeans, which have a shorter growing season. If it is excessively hot and dry during the corn silking stage, yields could drop, and a delayed start to the season could push silking later in the summer and increase the odds of that happening. A key stage to watch for soybeans in pod-filling, as excessively dry weather during that stage could result in smaller beans and lower yield. If the crops are late, there is an increased chance of frost before the plants have matured, which can also reduce yield.

Crop Conditions are measured by five categories: Excellent, Good, Fair, Poor and Very Poor. As a rule of thumb, analysts tend to focus on the percentage that is in the good and excellent categories (“Good/Excellent”) and to a lesser extent to “Poor/Very Poor.” The reports include data on the current week, the previous week, and a year prior.

Analysts look at the weekly conditions data during the growing season to get an idea on how the crop is performing relative to previous years. If the crop conditions are poor, analysts may want to reduce their production estimates, and vice-versa if the crop conditions are strong. Analysts may also look at individual states’ conditions in light of the weather those areas are experiencing.
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