Crop Conditions Summary | |||||||||
Corn: Crop Condition | |||||||||
GoodExcellent | 10/15 | 10/08 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 53 | 53 | 0 | 53 | 64 | 79(1992) | 47(1993) | 175.1 | 94.096 |
Iowa | 51 | 48 | +3 | 65 | 65 | 92(1992) | 12(1993) | 203.0 | 13.400 |
Illinois | 56 | 58 | -2 | 73 | 69 | 94(1992) | 21(2005) | 201.0 | 11.500 |
Nebraska | 51 | 47 | +4 | 39 | 68 | 81(2009) | 39(2022) | 184.0 | 9.500 |
Minnesota | 40 | 41 | -1 | 62 | 69 | 89(2015) | 4(1993) | 183.0 | 8.400 |
Cotton: Crop Condition | |||||||||
GoodExcellent | 10/15 | 10/08 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 30 | 32 | -2 | 31 | 45 | 79(1987) | 30(2023) | 947.0 | 11.087 |
Texas | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 | 35 | 77(1987) | 10(2022) | 796.0 | 6.117 |
Georgia | 57 | 56 | +1 | 65 | 51 | 88(1991) | 16(2018) | 975.0 | 1.200 |
Oklahoma | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 43 | 91(1987) | 1(2011) | 348.0 | 0.570 |
Arkansas | 74 | 65 | +9 | 74 | 76 | 100(1994) | 29(1995) | 1196.0 | 0.480 |
Soybeans: Crop Condition | |||||||||
GoodExcellent | 10/15 | 10/08 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 52 | 51 | +1 | 57 | 63 | 78(1992) | 47(1993) | 50.9 | 83.505 |
Illinois | 60 | 58 | +2 | 71 | 68 | 95(1992) | 44(2019) | 62.0 | 10.000 |
Iowa | 48 | 48 | 0 | 62 | 64 | 89(1992) | 20(1993) | 58.0 | 9.700 |
Minnesota | 44 | 44 | 0 | 64 | 66 | 83(2016) | 7(1993) | 49.0 | 7.500 |
North Dakota | 42 | 40 | +2 | 57 | 58 | 77(2016) | 45(2013) | 33.0 | 5.650 |
Crop Progress Summary | |||||||||
Corn: Percent Harvested | |||||||||
Harvested | 10/15 | 10/08 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 45 | 34 | +11 | 43 | 39 | 80(2012) | 15(2009) | 175.1 | 94.096 |
Iowa | 42 | 30 | +12 | 36 | 29 | 88(2012) | 8(2009) | 203.0 | 13.400 |
Illinois | 52 | 42 | +10 | 44 | 54 | 91(2010) | 9(2009) | 201.0 | 11.500 |
Nebraska | 44 | 32 | +12 | 44 | 31 | 81(2012) | 12(2009) | 184.0 | 9.500 |
Minnesota | 45 | 31 | +14 | 33 | 27 | 91(2012) | 3(2009) | 183.0 | 8.400 |
Cotton: Percent Harvested | |||||||||
Harvested | 10/15 | 10/08 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 33 | 25 | +8 | 36 | 29 | 52(2000) | 14(2009) | 947.0 | 11.087 |
Texas | 37 | 32 | +5 | 39 | 28 | 51(1998) | 14(2013) | 796.0 | 6.117 |
Georgia | 13 | 7 | +6 | 26 | 23 | 63(1990) | 7(2009) | 975.0 | 1.200 |
Oklahoma | 12 | 7 | +5 | 6 | 10 | 55(1998) | 1(1989) | 348.0 | 0.570 |
Arkansas | 55 | 32 | +23 | 48 | 47 | 83(2010) | 7(2009) | 1196.0 | 0.480 |
Soybeans: Percent Harvested | |||||||||
Harvested | 10/15 | 10/08 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 62 | 43 | +19 | 60 | 53 | 78(2010) | 27(2009) | 50.9 | 83.505 |
Illinois | 61 | 44 | +17 | 52 | 55 | 95(1987) | 12(2009) | 62.0 | 10.000 |
Iowa | 74 | 52 | +22 | 71 | 54 | 95(1987) | 22(2018) | 58.0 | 9.700 |
Minnesota | 76 | 57 | +19 | 80 | 69 | 99(2012) | 10(1985) | 49.0 | 7.500 |
North Dakota | 66 | 41 | +25 | 73 | 66 | 98(2012) | 17(2019) | 33.0 | 5.650 |
Winter Wheat: Percent Planted | |||||||||
Planted | 10/15 | 10/08 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 68 | 57 | +11 | 67 | 68 | 84(1987) | 60(2017) | 47.0 | 37.005 |
Kansas | 70 | 57 | +13 | 62 | 68 | 96(1987) | 42(2017) | 37.0 | 8.100 |
Texas | 62 | 55 | +7 | 68 | 62 | 87(1996) | 50(2011) | 30.0 | 6.400 |
Oklahoma | 64 | 50 | +14 | 51 | 68 | 90(1993) | 45(2000) | 28.0 | 4.600 |
Colorado | 94 | 89 | +5 | 94 | 91 | 99(2011) | 84(2017) | 25.0 | 2.300 |
US Crop Progress Estimates as of Oct 15, 2023 | |||||
Estimates | Previous | ||||
Hightower | Range | Last Week | Last Year | ||
Progress - Percent Completed | |||||
Corn Harvested | 45 | 42 - 50 | 34 | 45 | |
Soybeans Harvested | 56 | 53 - 58 | 43 | 63 | |
Winter Wheat Planted | 68 | 65 - 70 | 57 | 69 | |
Conditions - Percent Good/Excellent | |||||
Corn Condition | 53 | 52 - 54 | 53 | 53 | |
Soybean Condition | 51 | 50 - 53 | 51 | 57 | |
Highlights
Corn
Corn rated good / excellent (G/EX) as of October 15 was unchanged at 53% and poor / very poor was unchanged at 18%. Current G/EX is down 11% versus the 10 year average and Poor / Very Poor is up 5% versus the 10 year average. Of the 18 reported states 8 reported better, 3 worse, and 7 unchanged G/EX ratings. The good / excellent ratings for the top producing states were: Iowa 51%(+3%), Illinois 56%(-2%), Nebraska 51%(+4%), Minnesota 40%(-1%), Indiana 67%(+1%).
Soybeans
Soybeans rated good / excellent (G/EX) as of October 15 was up 1% at 52% and poor / very poor was unchanged at 18%. Current G/EX is down 11% versus the 10 year average and Poor / Very Poor is up 7% versus the 10 year average. Of the 18 reported states 6 reported better, 4 worse, and 8 unchanged G/EX ratings. The good / excellent ratings for the top producing states were: Illinois 60%(+2%), Iowa 48%(0%), Minnesota 44%(0%), Indiana 67%(+1%), Nebraska 42%(0%).
Cotton
Cotton rated good / excellent (G/EX) as of October 15 was down 2% at 30% and poor / very poor was up 2% at 43%. Current G/EX is down 15% versus the 10 year average and Poor / Very Poor is up 21% versus the 10 year average. Of the 15 reported states 6 reported better, 6 worse, and 3 unchanged G/EX ratings. The good / excellent ratings for the top producing states were: Texas 11%(-4%), Georgia 57%(+1%), Arkansas 74%(+9%), Mississippi 45%(-8%), North Carolina 56%(+9%).
Crop Progress
Cotton
Cotton harvested as of October 15 was up 8% at 33%. This is down 3% versus last year and up 4% versus the 10 year average. The top producing states report Texas 37%(+5%), Georgia 13%(+6%), Arkansas 55%(+23%), Mississippi 61%(+19%), North Carolina 12%(+5%).
Winter Wheat
Winter Wheat planted as of October 15 was up 11% at 68%. This is up 1% versus last year and unchanged versus the 10 year average. The top producing states report Kansas 70%(+13%), Washington 87%(+10%), Montana 76%(+2%), Illinois 47%(+17%), Idaho 84%(+14%).
Corn
Corn harvested as of October 15 was up 11% at 45%. This is up 2% versus last year and up 6% versus the 10 year average. The top producing states report Iowa 42%(+12%), Illinois 52%(+10%), Nebraska 44%(+12%), Minnesota 45%(+14%), Indiana 30%(+9%).
Soybeans
Soybeans harvested as of October 15 was up 19% at 62%. This is up 2% versus last year and up 9% versus the 10 year average. The top producing states report Illinois 61%(+17%), Iowa 74%(+22%), Minnesota 76%(+19%), Indiana 52%(+19%), Nebraska 70%(+18%).
Definition
Description
Crop Progress is measured by stages and percentage of completion. This includes percent planted, percent harvested, and several stages in between. Some of the stages vary from crop to crop. For example, intermediate stages for corn include emergence, silk, dough, dent, and maturity, while the stages for soybeans include emergence, bloom, setting pods, and dropping leaves. The reports compare the current week with the same period in the previous year and with the 5-year average.
Inclement weather in the spring can delay planting, which could ultimately lower the production for that year. For corn, producers may be forced to pick faster-growing but lower-yielding seed varieties if planting gets delayed. In some cases, they may switch to soybeans, which have a shorter growing season. If it is excessively hot and dry during the corn silking stage, yields could drop, and a delayed start to the season could push silking later in the summer and increase the odds of that happening. A key stage to watch for soybeans in pod-filling, as excessively dry weather during that stage could result in smaller beans and lower yield. If the crops are late, there is an increased chance of frost before the plants have matured, which can also reduce yield.
Crop Conditions are measured by five categories: Excellent, Good, Fair, Poor and Very Poor. As a rule of thumb, analysts tend to focus on the percentage that is in the good and excellent categories (“Good/Excellent”) and to a lesser extent to “Poor/Very Poor.” The reports include data on the current week, the previous week, and a year prior.
Analysts look at the weekly conditions data during the growing season to get an idea on how the crop is performing relative to previous years. If the crop conditions are poor, analysts may want to reduce their production estimates, and vice-versa if the crop conditions are strong. Analysts may also look at individual states’ conditions in light of the weather those areas are experiencing.