Consensus | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.0% | 0.6% | -1.1% | -1.3% |
Year over Year | -3.5% | -5.1% | -2.2% |
Highlights
The latest overall monthly rise was driven by a 1.2 percent jump in consumer durables, supported by smaller gains in consumer non-durables (0.5 percent) and capital goods (0.3 percent). By contrast, intermediates fell 0.3 percent and energy was off 0.9 percent.
Regionally, France (minus 0.2 percent) and Spain (minus 0.7 percent) posted monthly falls but both Germany (0.1 percent) and Italy (0.2 percent) eked out small advances.
Despite August's bounce, average Eurozone industrial production in the first two months of the quarter was still 1.0 percent below its second quarter mean. Without revisions, this means September will need a monthly increase of at least 2.7 percent just to keep the third quarter flat. Accordingly, it looks very likely that the sector will subtract from GDP growth which could easily be negative. Today's data put the Eurozone RPI at minus 16 and the RPI-P at minus 7, both readings pointing to a limited degree of overall economic underperformance.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Investors want to keep their finger on the pulse of the economy because it usually dictates how various types of investments will perform. The stock market likes to see healthy economic growth because that translates to higher corporate profits. The bond market prefers more subdued growth that will not lead to inflationary pressures. By tracking economic data such as industrial production, investors will know what the economic backdrop is for these markets and their portfolios.