Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | -0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
Year over Year | -2.0% | -0.9% |
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Clothing sales accounted for much of the August decline, slumping by 2.3 percent month-over-month, while spending on durable goods was unchanged.
Despite the August decline, spending rose by 1.0 percent in the three months to August, which raises the prospect of consumer spending making a positive contribution to third quarter gross domestic product after exerting a negative effect in the previous period.
The latest data take the RPI to minus 26 from minus 10 previously, while the RPI-P moved to minus 20 from minus 15 previously.
Definition
Description
The pattern in consumer spending is often the foremost influence on stock and bond markets. For stocks, strong economic growth translates to healthy corporate profits and higher stock prices. For bonds, the focus is whether economic growth goes overboard and leads to inflation. Ideally, the economy walks that fine line between strong growth and excessive (inflationary) growth.
Retail sales not only give you a sense of the big picture, but also the trends among different types of retailers. Perhaps auto sales are especially strong or apparel sales are showing exceptional weakness. These trends from the retail sales data can help you spot specific investment opportunities, without having to wait for a company's quarterly or annual report.