ActualPreviousRevised
Month over Month0.6%-0.2%-0.3%
Year over Year-1.4%0.9%

Highlights

Producer prices for the domestic market rose by 0.6 percent in August, the first increase since March, after a 0.3 percent decline in July (previously reported as a 0.2 percent fall). However, that wasn't sufficient to keep the annual rate above zero; domestic PPI slumped by 1.4 percent last month, the first decline since December of 2020, after a 0.9 percent gain in July.

The August fall is largely due to base effects, with PPI rising sharply month-over-month in the same period of 2022. Producer prices remain 28 percent above their 2021 average.

The decline in pipeline inflation if sustained - suggests further cooling in consumer price pressures in months to come, although European Central Bank officials have stressed that they're closely watching service sector inflation which has been stickier than industrial inflation.

The latest data take the RPI to minus 26 from minus 10 previously, while the RPI-P moved to minus 20 from minus 15 previously.

Definition

The producer price indices (PPI) measure transaction prices, exclusive of VAT, for goods from industrial activities sold on the French market. Construction is excluded. Changes in the index provide a guide to inflation from the point of view of the product's producer/manufacturer and, in contrast to the consumer price index (CPI), excludes VAT and other deductible taxed associated with turnover.

Description

The PPI measures prices at the producer level before they are passed along to consumers. Since the producer price index measures prices of consumer goods and capital equipment, a portion of the inflation at the producer level gets passed through to the consumer price index (CPI).

Because the index of producer prices measures price changes at an early stage in the economic process, it can serve as an indicator of future inflation trends. The producer price index and its sub-indexes are often used in business contracts for the adjustment of recurring payments. They also are used to deflate other values of economic statistics like the production index. It should be noted that the PPI excludes construction.

The PPI provides a key measure of inflation alongside the consumer price indexes and GDP deflators. The output price indexes measure change in manufacturer' goods prices produced and often are referred to as factory gate prices. Input prices are not limited to just those materials used in the final product, but also include what is required by the company in its normal day-to-day operations.

The PPI is considered a precursor of both consumer price inflation and profits. If the prices paid to manufacturers increase, businesses are faced with either charging higher prices or they taking a cut in profits. The ability to pass along price increases depends on the strength and competitiveness of the marketplace.

The bond market rallies when the PPI decreases or posts only small increases, but bond prices fall when the PPI posts larger-than-expected gains. The equity market rallies with the bond market because low inflation promises low interest rates and is good for profits.
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