Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
Year over Year | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% |
Highlights
That took the annual inflation to 4.9 percent, a touch higher than the preliminary estimate of 4.8 percent, up from 4.3 percent in July.
The RPI for French CPI hit plus 11, while the RPI-P remained within consensus at minus 9.
Core inflation declined to an annual rate of 4.6 percent from 5.0 percent in July.
The harmonised consumer price index tracked by the European Central Bank rose by 1.1 percent in August (matching the preliminary estimate), taking the annual rate of HICP to 5.7 percent, also in line with data released earlier this month, up from the 5.1 percent increase in July.
It's unclear whether this latest data could affect revisions of Eurozone HICP, which stabilised at an annual rate of 5.3 percent last month after falling by 0.1 percent between July and August. Eurostat will release updated August inflation data on Tuesday.
ECB President Christine Lagarde hinted that interest rates could remain at current levels after announcing a 25-basis point increase in the Bank's main benchmarks on Thursday. However, she did briefly touch upon the recent rise in commodities prices at the end of her press briefing, suggesting the governing council is bracing for challenges in the battle to bring inflation to target. That raises questions over whether the ECB is prepared to look through any future rise in headline inflation when considering its next moves.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
France like other EMU countries has both a national CPI and a harmonized index of consumer prices (HICP). The HICP is calculated to give a comparable inflation measure for the EMU. Components and weights within the national CPI vary from other countries, reflecting national idiosyncrasies.
Inflation is an increase in the overall prices of goods and services. The relationship between inflation and interest rates is the key to understanding how indicators such as the CPI influence the markets - and your investments. As the rate of inflation changes and as expectations on inflation change, the markets adjust interest rates. The effect ripples across stocks, bonds, commodities, and your portfolio, often in a dramatic fashion.
By tracking inflation, whether high or low, rising or falling, investors can anticipate how different types of investments will perform. Over the long run, the bond market will rally (fall) when increases in the CPI are small (large). The equity market rallies with the bond market because low inflation promises low interest rates and is good for profits.