Actual | Previous | Revised | Consensus | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Business Confidence | 104.9 | 106.8 | 106.7 | |
Manufacturing Confidence | 96.4 | 97.8 | 97.7 | 98.0 |
Consumer Confidence | 105.4 | 106.5 | 106.0 |
Highlights
Manufacturing confidence also weakened, falling to 96.4, undershooting the consensus estimate of 98.0. That's below the downwardly revised 97.7 in August (a touch lower than the previous estimate of 97.8) and suggests industrial output contracted again in September after five straight monthly declines.
Meanwhile, consumer confidence also softened, falling to 105.4 in September, short of the consensus forecast of 106.0, down from an unrevised 106.5 in August.
That takes the Italian RPI to positive one from positive six previously, while the RPI-P swung to negative 13, from negative six previously.
The data come amid growing evidence of an economic slowdown, reversing a burst of growth at the start of the year.
On Wednesday, the Italian government admitted that gross domestic product is likely to expand by just 0.8 percent this year, down from a previous forecast of 1.0 percent. But meeting even that downgraded prediction could be a challenge, after the economy contracted by 0.4 percent in the second quarter.
Italy has little scope for stimulus measures, with the budget deficit likely to hit 5.3 percent of gross domestic product this year; that's up from a previous estimate of 4.5 percent, according to updated forecasts released on Wednesday.