Consensus | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | -0.3% | -0.7% | 0.5% | |
Year over Year | -1.7% | -2.1% | -0.8% | -0.7% |
Highlights
The monthly slide was broad-based and would have been steeper but for a 3.7 percent bounce in energy. Consumer goods declined 1.6 percent, capital goods 1.5 percent and intermediates 0.5 percent. However, over the latest three months, production was still up a modest 0.2 percent.
The July report leaves a broadly flat trend to overall industrial production and, despite persistently weak PMI surveys, may pave the way for the third quarter to avoid a contraction for the first time since the second quarter of 2022. However, even should this be the case, demand is soft and it is difficult to see the sector making much of a contribution to GDP growth. Today's data put the Italian RPI at 7 and the RPI-P at minus 1. In other words, overall economic activity is performing much as expected.