Crop Conditions Summary | |||||||||
Corn: Crop Condition | |||||||||
GoodExcellent | 09/17 | 09/10 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 51 | 52 | -1 | 52 | 63 | 85(1986) | 24(2012) | 175.1 | 94.096 |
Iowa | 48 | 46 | +2 | 64 | 64 | 98(1994) | 15(1993) | 203.0 | 13.400 |
Illinois | 55 | 58 | -3 | 72 | 66 | 91(1992) | 7(2012) | 201.0 | 11.500 |
Nebraska | 50 | 51 | -1 | 37 | 67 | 95(1986) | 33(2012) | 184.0 | 9.500 |
Minnesota | 41 | 39 | +2 | 63 | 68 | 89(2010) | 5(1993) | 183.0 | 8.400 |
Cotton: Crop Condition | |||||||||
GoodExcellent | 09/17 | 09/10 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 29 | 29 | 0 | 33 | 47 | 75(1987) | 27(2011) | 947.0 | 11.087 |
Texas | 10 | 9 | +1 | 15 | 36 | 76(1987) | 11(2011) | 796.0 | 6.117 |
Georgia | 56 | 55 | +1 | 60 | 58 | 90(1994) | 8(1986) | 975.0 | 1.200 |
Oklahoma | 11 | 12 | -1 | 9 | 47 | 93(2017) | 1(2011) | 348.0 | 0.570 |
Arkansas | 65 | 69 | -4 | 65 | 76 | 100(1994) | 22(1989) | 1196.0 | 0.480 |
Soybeans: Crop Condition | |||||||||
GoodExcellent | 09/17 | 09/10 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 52 | 52 | 0 | 55 | 61 | 75(1994) | 23(1988) | 50.9 | 83.505 |
Illinois | 54 | 58 | -4 | 67 | 64 | 86(1992) | 11(1988) | 62.0 | 10.000 |
Iowa | 47 | 44 | +3 | 63 | 63 | 97(1994) | 12(1988) | 58.0 | 9.700 |
Minnesota | 46 | 45 | +1 | 63 | 64 | 88(2010) | 6(1993) | 49.0 | 7.500 |
North Dakota | 45 | 51 | -6 | 59 | 54 | 86(2010) | 16(2021) | 33.0 | 5.650 |
Crop Progress Summary | |||||||||
Corn: Percent Harvested | |||||||||
Harvested | 09/17 | 09/10 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 9 | 5 | +4 | 7 | 7 | 28(2012) | 5(2019) | 175.1 | 94.096 |
Iowa | 5 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 2 | 24(2012) | 0(2019) | 203.0 | 13.400 |
Illinois | 6 | 2 | +4 | 2 | 6 | 39(2012) | 1(2019) | 201.0 | 11.500 |
Nebraska | 7 | 2 | +5 | 5 | 3 | 25(2012) | 1(2019) | 184.0 | 9.500 |
Minnesota | 6 | 1 | +5 | 0 | 1 | 16(1988) | 0(2022) | 183.0 | 8.400 |
Cotton: Percent Harvested | |||||||||
Harvested | 09/17 | 09/10 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 9 | 8 | +1 | 11 | 9 | 16(2000) | 4(2013) | 947.0 | 11.087 |
Texas | 20 | 19 | +1 | 20 | 15 | 28(1998) | 9(2016) | 796.0 | 6.117 |
Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 23(1990) | 0(2013) | 975.0 | 1.200 |
Oklahoma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6(2000) | 0(2022) | 348.0 | 0.570 |
Arkansas | 1 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 2 | 20(1987) | 0(2021) | 1196.0 | 0.480 |
Soybeans: Percent Harvested | |||||||||
Harvested | 09/17 | 09/10 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 5 | - | - | 3 | - | 12(2012) | 1(1990) | 50.9 | 83.505 |
Illinois | 1 | - | - | 0 | - | 23(1987) | 0(2022) | 62.0 | 10.000 |
Iowa | 3 | 1 | +2 | 0 | - | 8(2012) | 0(2022) | 58.0 | 9.700 |
Minnesota | 6 | 0 | +6 | 1 | 5 | 20(2012) | 0(2001) | 49.0 | 7.500 |
North Dakota | 4 | - | - | 4 | 6 | 32(2012) | 2(2017) | 33.0 | 5.650 |
Spring Wheat: Percent Harvested | |||||||||
Harvested | 09/17 | 09/10 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 93 | 87 | +6 | 93 | - | 97(2016) | 65(1993) | 46.2 | 11.140 |
North Dakota | 91 | 82 | +9 | 89 | - | 98(2016) | 64(1993) | 50.0 | 5.600 |
Montana | 94 | 90 | +4 | 100 | - | 100(2022) | 29(1993) | 25.0 | 2.800 |
Minnesota | 98 | 94 | +4 | 90 | - | 100(2016) | 59(1992) | 61.0 | 1.140 |
South Dakota | 100 | 99 | +1 | 100 | - | 100(2022) | 92(1985) | 48.0 | 0.750 |
Winter Wheat: Percent Planted | |||||||||
Planted | 09/17 | 09/10 | Change | Last Yr. | 10 Yr. | High(Year) | Low(Year) | Yield Last | Area |
Select States | 15 | 7 | +8 | 19 | 16 | 29(1987) | 12(2019) | 47.0 | 37.005 |
Kansas | 8 | 4 | +4 | 13 | 9 | 26(1986) | 4(2000) | 37.0 | 8.100 |
Texas | 15 | 7 | +8 | 31 | 16 | 35(1996) | 7(2011) | 30.0 | 6.400 |
Oklahoma | 12 | 5 | +7 | 13 | 12 | 30(2004) | 3(2015) | 28.0 | 4.600 |
Colorado | 29 | 19 | +10 | 29 | 31 | 56(1985) | 19(2012) | 25.0 | 2.300 |
US Crop Progress Estimates as of Sep 17, 2023 | |||||
Estimates | Previous | ||||
Hightower | Range | Last Week | Last Year | ||
Progress - Percent Completed | |||||
Corn Harvested | 10 | 8 - 12 | 5 | 7 | |
Soybeans Harvested | 4 | 3 - 5 | - | 3 | |
Spring Wheat Harvested | 94 | 93 - 98 | 87 | 94 | |
Winter Wheat Planted | 15 | 11 - 20 | 7 | 21 | |
Conditions - Percent Good/Excellent | |||||
Corn Condition | 51 | 50 - 52 | 52 | 52 | |
Soybean Condition | 51 | 51 - 53 | 52 | 55 | |
Highlights
Corn
Corn rated good / excellent (G/EX) as of September 17 was down 1% at 51% and poor / very poor was up 2% at 20%. Current G/EX is down 12% versus the 10 year average and Poor / Very Poor is up 7% versus the 10 year average. Of the 18 reported states 8 reported better, 8 worse, and 2 unchanged G/EX ratings. The good / excellent ratings for the top producing states were: Iowa 48%(+2%), Illinois 55%(-3%), Nebraska 50%(-1%), Minnesota 41%(+2%), Indiana 64%(-1%).
Soybeans
Soybeans rated good / excellent (G/EX) as of September 17 was unchanged at 52% and poor / very poor was unchanged at 18%. Current G/EX is down 9% versus the 10 year average and Poor / Very Poor is up 6% versus the 10 year average. Of the 18 reported states 6 reported better, 8 worse, and 4 unchanged G/EX ratings. The good / excellent ratings for the top producing states were: Illinois 54%(-4%), Iowa 47%(+3%), Minnesota 46%(+1%), Indiana 64%(-1%), Nebraska 47%(+1%).
Cotton
Cotton rated good / excellent (G/EX) as of September 17 was unchanged at 29% and poor / very poor was up 2% at 43%. Current G/EX is down 18% versus the 10 year average and Poor / Very Poor is up 22% versus the 10 year average. Of the 15 reported states 5 reported better, 9 worse, and 1 unchanged G/EX ratings. The good / excellent ratings for the top producing states were: Texas 10%(+1%), Georgia 56%(+1%), Arkansas 65%(-4%), Mississippi 56%(+6%), North Carolina 43%(-6%).
Crop Progress
Cotton
Cotton harvested as of September 17 was up 1% at 9%. This is down 2% versus last year and unchanged versus the 10 year average. The top producing states report Texas 20%(+1%), Georgia 0%(0%), Arkansas 1%(+1%), Mississippi 3%(+3%), North Carolina 0%(0%).
Spring Wheat
Spring Wheat harvested as of September 17 was up 6% at 93%. This is unchanged versus last year. The top producing states report North Dakota 91%(+9%), Minnesota 98%(+4%), Montana 94%(+4%), South Dakota 100%(+1%), Idaho 87%(+11%).
Winter Wheat
Winter Wheat planted as of September 17 was up 8% at 15%. This is down 4% versus last year and down 1% versus the 10 year average. The top producing states report Kansas 8%(+4%), Washington 41%(+12%), Montana 17%(+14%), Illinois 8%(+8%), Idaho 13%(+3%).
Corn
Corn harvested as of September 17 was up 4% at 9%. This is up 2% versus last year and up 2% versus the 10 year average. The top producing states report Iowa 5%(+3%), Illinois 6%(+4%), Nebraska 7%(+5%), Minnesota 6%(+5%), Indiana 2%(+2%).
Soybeans
Soybeans harvested as of September 17 5%. This is up 2% versus last year.
Definition
Description
Crop Progress is measured by stages and percentage of completion. This includes percent planted, percent harvested, and several stages in between. Some of the stages vary from crop to crop. For example, intermediate stages for corn include emergence, silk, dough, dent, and maturity, while the stages for soybeans include emergence, bloom, setting pods, and dropping leaves. The reports compare the current week with the same period in the previous year and with the 5-year average.
Inclement weather in the spring can delay planting, which could ultimately lower the production for that year. For corn, producers may be forced to pick faster-growing but lower-yielding seed varieties if planting gets delayed. In some cases, they may switch to soybeans, which have a shorter growing season. If it is excessively hot and dry during the corn silking stage, yields could drop, and a delayed start to the season could push silking later in the summer and increase the odds of that happening. A key stage to watch for soybeans in pod-filling, as excessively dry weather during that stage could result in smaller beans and lower yield. If the crops are late, there is an increased chance of frost before the plants have matured, which can also reduce yield.
Crop Conditions are measured by five categories: Excellent, Good, Fair, Poor and Very Poor. As a rule of thumb, analysts tend to focus on the percentage that is in the good and excellent categories (“Good/Excellent”) and to a lesser extent to “Poor/Very Poor.” The reports include data on the current week, the previous week, and a year prior.
Analysts look at the weekly conditions data during the growing season to get an idea on how the crop is performing relative to previous years. If the crop conditions are poor, analysts may want to reduce their production estimates, and vice-versa if the crop conditions are strong. Analysts may also look at individual states’ conditions in light of the weather those areas are experiencing.