Consensus | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.3% | 0.2% |
Year over Year | -1.1% | -1.0% | -1.4% | -1.0% |
Highlights
The headline monthly decline masked a 0.4 percent gain in purchases of food, drink and tobacco and a 0.5 percent rise in non-food sales (ex-auto fuel) within which mail order and internet jumped 3.8 percent. However, auto fuel was down 1.2 percent.
Regionally, it was again Germany (minus 0.8 percent) that did much of the monthly damage and weakness here contrasted with increases in both France (0.2 percent) and Spain (0.4 percent). Elsewhere it was the usual mixed picture but most other member states posted declines.
Today's update leaves overall Eurozone volumes in July just 0.1 percent above their average level in the second quarter when they edged 0.1 percent firmer versus the first quarter. In other words, household spending on goods remains sluggish at best. Today's update puts the region's ECDI and ECDI-P at minus 11 and minus 26 respectively and so still in negative surprise territory.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The pattern in consumer spending is often the foremost influence on stock and bond markets. For stocks, strong economic growth translates to healthy corporate profits and higher stock prices. For bonds, the focus is whether economic growth goes overboard and leads to inflation. Ideally, the economy walks that fine line between strong growth and excessive (inflationary) growth.
Retail sales not only give you a sense of the big picture, but also the trends among different types of retailers. Perhaps auto sales are especially strong or apparel sales are showing exceptional weakness. These trends from the retail sales data can help you spot specific investment opportunities, without having to wait for a company's quarterly or annual report.